Thursday, 10 August 2017

INDEPENDENCE DAY : VIEWS OF A COMMON MAN

Introduction:

We are nearing to celebrate our 71st INDEPENDENCE DAY shortly. Again we have reached near time for reappraisal of ourselves as well as our country as a whole for that we could achieve in last 70 years. I know, we are all viral tigers and try to post our feelings in social media and will try to put all that we have achieved into the bag of present ruling government and that we could not into the bag of previous government on the pretext that all that wrong doing were their motto. In this essay I will impartially try to year mark the nation as a whole from 1950 to 2017.

At the very outset, we will try to analyse the strength of our country. Our strength is that we speak more work less. This is bitter truth for our nation. We promise many, our leaders promise/promised up to any extent (because promise does not cost anything) but to fulfil the promise it becomes a mountain to them. I will first start with growth of our economy as a whole. Incidentally we have two close neighbours of whom one is Pakistan, where we lost most of our energy and money to show them what they deserve and other neighbour is China who also started growing from the same point of time when we started. Now let us make a comparative study of our economy and growth right from 1950 vis a vis our neighbour China so that we can gauge our achievements as well as where we are legging behind:

01. Economy and Development:

Friends, India gained independence in 1947 and became a republic in 1950; the Chinese revolution occurred in 1949. Thus, 1950 is an appropriate starting point for comparative study:
v  Both were primarily rural societies with agriculture the predominant form of employment and production. Their agricultural sectors were characterised by small farms, unequal land ownership, and a large labour force. "Agricultural output per person in China was higher than the level in India, but China was closer to limits of its cultivable land and of yields per hectare given the technology of that time" (Malenbaum 1982, pg. 47).
v   The industrial sectors were small and employed less than 15 percent of the respective work forces in 1950. In both countries, industry was dominated by small-scale and traditional forms of enterprise, but "... India's industrial output was more modem and diverse and, judged on the whole, greater per person than China's" (Malenbaum 1982, pg. 47).
v   K. N. Raj estimated that 2.6 percent of the Indian labour force comparing to 1.3 percent of the Chinese labour force were employed in large-scale factories and mines in the early 1950s)
v  Their per capita GNP's were roughly equal in 1950: $50--60 ranges in 1952 U.S. prices according to Malenbaum (1982, pg. 47);
v   It was $65 in China and $62 in India at 1960 U.S. prices according to Weiss Kopf (1980, 81).
v  Both societies were characterised by low literacy rates, life expectancy of close to thirty-five years, and sharp regional and class inequalities. Their economies and cultures were traditional, rural, and static.

This trend continued up to 80's of last century. Then I think everyone remembers two major incidents of last century that changed the economic structure of both countries.  1) Tiananmen Square in China that changed China to come out from close social economy towards open economy and 2) The shift of Indian economy from Nehruvian social economy to LPG (Liberalisation, Privatisation and Globalisation and after that period more precisely from 1991.let us compare again both economy and we find:

v  GDP of China is 5.06 and 2.39 times more than India at nominal and PPP terms, respectively.
v  China crossed $1 trillion mark in 1998 while India in 2007 at exchange rate basis. Now in 2014, India crossed 2 trillion marks and China crossed 10 trillion. Whereas, in 1980, size of economy of China and India were $309 and $181, respectively.
v  GDP of China at PPP terms is 1.7 times more than compare to nominal basis. This ratio of India is 3.60.
v  In nominal terms, per capita GDP of China is $7,589, 80th position in world and 19th in Asia. India's GDP per capita is around of $1,627. India's rank in world and Asia is 145 and 33, respectively. On PPP basis, GDP per capita of China is $12,880 and of India is $5,855.
v  China is 4.66 times richer than India in nominal method and 2.20 times richer in PPP method.
v  Out of 35 years from 1980 to 2014, China grew by more than 10% in 16 years while India in only one. India reached an all-time high of 10.26% in 2010 and a record low of 1.06% in 1991. India's growth rate was 9-10% in 4 years, while China in 7 years. And lastly
v  Indian rupee was at 4.23 INR per Chinese Yuan (CNY) on 2 Jan 1996.
v  Value of Indian rupees has fallen to 10.18 INR per 1 CNY in 1 Jan 2015.

So we lost in race chronologically with them in the mid-way somewhere. Our military might is now much less than that the People’s Republic of China has.

02. Education:

India has made progress in terms of increasing the primary education attendance rate and expanding literacy to approximately three-quarters of the population in the 7–10 age groups, by 2011. India's improved education system is often cited as one of the main contributors to its e Much of the progress, especially in higher education and scientific research, has been credited to various public institutions. While enrolment in higher economic development induction has increased steadily over the past decade, reaching a Gross Enrolment Ratio of 24% in 2013, there still remains a significant distance to catch up with tertiary education enrolment levels of developed nations, a challenge that will be necessary to overcome in order to continue to reap a demographic dividend from India's comparatively young population. However we have to keep a track on school dropouts in primary level and if we take the present data we see that the enrolment in primary level is although 93% but enrolment at secondary level is only 69% which means the drop out at this level is 24%. The picture in post-secondary level is really gloomy and is only 25% thus dropout in school level is totally 68% which really alarming. Although the total allotted budget for education from 2005 to 2012 (the available data with me) is Rs 99100 crores equivalent to US $ 15 Mn. Meanwhile, India should not forget the theory of Amartya Sen’s ‘Welfare Economy’ where it is said that a nation cannot develop until its citizens are given basic education to all.

3. Health care:

India’s current health policy originated in the nation-building activities that occurred during independence in 1947 and in the philosophy embodied in the government of India’s 1946 Report on the Health Survey and Development Committee, commonly referred to as the Bhore Committee Report (Gupte, Ramachandran, and Mutatkar, 2001; Peters et al., 2002). The report concluded that India’s poor health conditions could be attributed to unsanitary conditions, defective nutrition, the inadequacy of the existing medical and preventive health organisation, and a lack of health education. The committee provided comprehensive recommendations that included placing health workers on the public payroll and limiting the need for private practitioners.
But, since the 1980s, multiple forces have driven changes in the health system in India. As Qadeer (2000) argues, the emerging middle class and private practitioners worked with international donors to push Privatisation in the health care system. The middle class lobbied for “high-tech hospitals” that provide international standards of health care; the private practitioners benefited from government subsidies for medical education and put pressure on the authorities to loosen regulations over medical care. International donors, such as the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank, played a crucial role in supporting reforms, including cutting health sector investments, encouraging the private sector, and introducing user fees and private investments in public hospitals. There was an increase in the total direct investment in health as well as related investments in water supply and sanitation. The specific investment in family planning rose from less than 1 percent to 26 percent of the total. At the same time, spending on the control of communicable diseases dropped from 17 to 4 percent. - But, overall if we look upon the health indicator of our country we have miles to go still now. If we again compare with China (since both countries started their journey in same time) we will see people in China live longer and are healthier than people in India (see Table 3.1). According to WHO’s statistics, a woman born in India in 2004 has a life expectancy of 63 years, whereas a woman born in China at the same time has a life expectancy of 74 years. A man born in India has a life expectancy of 61 years, whereas a man born in China has a life expectancy of 70 years. The disparity in life expectancy between the two countries is greater for women than for men, which is partly a result of the ten-fold greater maternal death rate during childbirth for women in India compared with women in China. Additionally, residents of India suffer higher mortality rates in both childhood and adulthood than do residents of China.
Health status at birth in India is poor. It is estimated that 30 percent of infants in India were born with low birth weight (LBW, less than 2,500 grams at birth), whereas only 6 percent of newborns in China were born with LBW. Fifty-eight out of every 1,000 infants in India died before their first birthday, whereas only 27 out of every 1,000 infants in China died before their first birthday.

4. Present Scenario

Meanwhile, our country democratically elected a man in 2014 who started showing dream to us  Let us try to remember some of his promises he made from the podium of Lal Quilla on INDEPENDENCE DAY of 2015 after unfurling of our national flag. The tempo of his speech made us jubilant and we felt triumphant to believe that we are going to achieve this time. Days of false promise will fade away and our dream would come into reality. I will call you all to analyse and find what we received and what is left behind:


i). Pradhan Mantri Jana Dhan Joyona 

 What Modi said 
 What actually happened 
  “I had announced 'Pradhan   Mantri Jan Dhan Yojna' on the last 15th of August. Even after 60 years of Independence; even when the banks were nationalised for the poor, 40 percent people of the country were without a bank account till the last 15th of August; the doors of the banks were not open for the poor. My countrymen, today I can proudly say that we achieved that target within the time frame. 17 crore people opened their bank accounts under Pradhan Mantri Jan Dhan Yojna. With a view to extend opportunities to the poor, we had said that these bank accounts could be opened with zero balance.”
 As many as 228.1 million new bank accounts have been opened as on August 3, 2016, an increase of 31 percent from 174 million in 2015–24 percent of these accounts (“zero-balance accounts”, in official term) had no money, a reduction of 22 percent from 2015. The balance in the accounts increased 85 percent over one year, from Rs 22,033 crore to Rs 40,795 crore.
The previous United Progressive Alliance (UPA) government had opened more than 50 million “no-frills” accounts–as they called them–for the poor over five years, but most were never used,( India Spend reported in October 2014.

ii). Swacch Vidyalay Abhijan: 100% separate toilets for boys and girls 

  What Modi said 
 What actually happened 
"It just came into my heart and I had announced that we would build separate toilets for boys and girls in all of our schools till the next 15th August. But later on, when we started work, the “Team India” figured out its responsibilities, we realised that there were 2 lakh and 62 thousand such schools where more than 4.25 lakh toilets were required to be built. I compliment all the state governments, government officers of the districts, policy framers and implementer of educational institutions, who were involved in realising this achievement.”
 A nationwide Fact Checker check revealed the claim that 100 percent of India’s schools were not true. Random checks across seven states revealed widespread infirmities, such as: Many schools, from urban New Delhi to backward, often remote, areas, such as Chatra district (Jharkhand) and SedamTaluka, Gulbarga district (Karnataka), did not have toilets. The specific claim that every school now has separate toilets for boys and girls in all schools was not true. Existing toilets in schools in areas such as Delhi, Sitapur (Uttar Pradesh), Tumkur (Karnataka), Dantewada (Chhattisgarh) and Wanaparthy (Telangana)–either already built or new–do not have water or are not maintained. That makes them useless. Without water, and after a few students used them, they became unusable.

iii) Give it up: 10.4 million have given up LPG subsidy voluntarily; 1.76 million women get free gas connections
What Modi said
What actually happened
“My brothers and sisters, I had made a request to my countrymen that if you are economically sound, then why do you avail subsidy on LPG? Why do you need this paltry amount of rupees five to seven hundred which you usually spend on petty snacks? I had just started giving message about this; I didn’t launch any campaign as yet, because I have faith in “Team India’. As the message spreads the result would come, but today I can tell with pride that ever-since I had launched movement of “give it up” subsidy of LPG gas cylinder, till date 20 lakh (2 million) consumers have already given it up.”
As many as 10.4 million people gave up their LPG subsidy voluntarily, according to recent official data from the ministry of oil and petroleum. The Centre launched “Pradhan Mantri Ujjwala Yojana” to provide LPG connections to 50 million women from families who live below the poverty line over a period of three years, starting from financial year 2016-17.

As many as 1.76 million connections have been given under the program as on 25 July 2016, according to data tabled in Parliament.

iv). Electricity to villages: Govt says 98.1 percent electrified, but electricity supply suspect
What Modi said
What actually happened
“Brothers and sisters, in the coming days I wish to concentrate on an issue. Even today, there are about eighteen thousand, five hundred such villages in our country where electric wires and poles are yet to reach. Eighteen thousand five hundred villages are deprived of the sun of independence, deprived of the light of independence; they are deprived of the rays of development of independence. But it is now the solemn pledge of the “Team India” of 1.25 billion countrymen that the target of providing electric poles, electric wires and electricity to these 18,500 villages would be achieved within the next 1000 days.”
As many as 587,569 of 597,464 villages (98.1 percent) in India were “electrified” as on June 30, 2016, which means only 9,895 do not have electricity, according to a recent report by the Central Electricity Authority (CEA).

A village being declared “electrified” does not mean a household will get electricity, Fact Checker reported in November 2015. The ministry of power defines a village (from 2004-05) as electrified if:

Basic power infrastructure, such as a transformer and distribution lines, is provided in the inhabited locality as well as associated Dalit settlements, which are often excluded from village facilities, where they exist. Many villages classified as un-electrified are counted as electrified on an app “GARV” (launched by the power ministry to track electrification).

Uninhabited villages have been marked as electrified. Villages like Panalomali, Kusadangar and Patyetapali in Odisha and Sunwara in Madhya Pradesh — all counted as electrified villages — have no people residing there.

v). Social security: 127 million people enrolled for three major programmes
What Modi said
What actually happened
“We have laid great stress upon social security and also the welfare of the poor – and thus Prime Minister’s Suraksha Bima Yojana (PMSBY), Atal Pension Yojana (APY) and Prime Minister’s Jeevan Jyoti Bima Yojana (PMJJBY) have been launched. Crores of people of our country have no social security cover.”
APY has been given to 2.7 million, PMSBY to 94.5 million and PMJJBY to 29.7 million citizens as on 14 June 2016, according to official data.
More recent data tabled in Parliament indicates that 3.04 million Indians have registered under APY as on July 20, 2016.

vi). Rural India: Agriculture budget increased by 44 percent, several rural programmes launched
What Modi said
What actually happened
“We need drastic changes in the agriculture sector. The cultivable land is shrinking; it is getting divided between families and pieces of land are getting smaller. The fertility and productivity of our agricultural land must increase. The farmers need water and electricity and we are working towards their availability. We have decided to pump in fifty thousand crore rupees in ‘Pradhan Mantri Krishi Sinchaai Yojna’. How will the water reach the farms? Water will have to be saved. We have to launch a movement in our agricultural sector with the mantra of “Save Water, Save Energy, and Save Fertilisers”.
Modi is right about the divide in farming land–5 percent of farmers control 32 percent of India’s farmland and a “large” farmer in India has 45 times more land than a “marginal” farmer, India Spend reported in May 2016.

The land that can be farmed has marginally declined, from 182.5 million hectares in 2008-09 to 182 million hectares in 2012-13, mainly for non-agricultural purposes, such as urbanisation, roads, industries and housing, according to data tabled in Parliament.

The agriculture budget rose 44 percent, from Rs 24,909 crore ($4 billion) in 2015-16 to Rs 35,984 crore ($5 billion) in 2016-17, to address growing distress in rural areas from successive monsoon failures.




vii). One Rank One Pension for service personnel: Approved
What Modi said
What actually happened
“The issue of “One Rank One Pension (OROP)” has come before every government, each one has considered its proposal, and each and every government has made promises on it, but the problem is still pending to be resolved. I say to service personnel, we have accepted “One Rank One Pension” in principal but talks are going on with its organisations. Talks have reached at the final stage and we want that all get justice keeping in view the development of whole country. How it is implemented in view of its nitty-gritty situation, we are taking the talks forward by engaging with its stakeholders”
 Modi approved the OROP proposal in April 2016. It will cost the government an additional Rs 7,488 in annual pensions and Rs 10,925 crore in arrears.

As many as 1.6 million pensioners were paid their first pensions through the OROP program; Rs 2,861 crore was spent until March 31, 2016. Certain issues and anomalies have been raised by servicemen, which a government panel is considering.

5. Miscellaneous achievements:
a) Learned to respect Indian Army or I will be proved anti national.
b) Enhanced my lexicon with few words like bovine, bigotry, dhimmitude etc.
c) A new brigade of civil army introduced in country name “Gauraksaks’
d) A new segment of police introduced called ‘Anti-Romeo squad’  
e) A new definition of neo-religious faith came into force.
f) NCERT course will be redefined where names of old gourds of literature may be removed.
g) Words like ‘Cow’, ‘Gujrat’ ‘Hindu’ etc are prohibited to be spelt in public domain in certain circumstances.
h) A new chapter of Biology is introduced where I learned afresh that cow exhale oxygen, Peacock’s tears contains seminal fluid. Etc.

Conclusion:
I, as a common man had some vision, a dream for my country. I am the democracy; I am the preamble of constitution.But unfortunately now, I lie down from length to breadth of the country like Da Vinci’s ‘Vitruvian Man’ naked with my hands and legs spread  but I saw, they have butchered me into small pieces, they minced my soft flesh in ideal pieces, comfortable for them to cook and at last they fall upon like hungry beast to taste the cuisine! What cannibalism! Alas, tiger's flesh is not tigers prey, but MEN IS THE COMMON FOE OF MEN.
I carried my own corpse in the vicarage, it is me only who tore into pieces at morgue and I bade farewell to my mortal remains in misty eyes, because I am the common men.
Still, I dream, for a true democratic free India out of evils of all draconian misdeed by a few and hope for this on the eve of our 71st Independence Day, only the hope that prevails.
HAPPY INDEPENDENCE DAY!!!



Reference:
Fast post’ dated 13.08.16
RAND: Center for Asia pacific policy: an international specific paper on A Comparison of the Health Systems in China and India Sai Ma& Neeraj Sood
Education India –Wikipedia
Statisticstimes.com  


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